Key Findings from the UK Climate Change Risk Assessment 2012

The global climate is changing and will continue to change over the coming century.
Most climate scientists agree that much of this is attributable to increased atmospheric concentrations of ‘greenhouse’ gases produced by human activities. Even if we manage to limit future greenhouse gas emissions, current and historical emissions mean that a certain amount of additional warming is inevitable.
This summary presents key findings from the Climate Change Risk Assessment (CCRA), the first-ever comprehensive assessment of potential risks and opportunities for the UK arising from climate change.
The CCRA represents a key part of the Government’s response to the Climate Change Act 2008, which requires a series of assessments of climate risks to the UK, both under current conditions and over the long term.
The CCRA has used currently available evidence to produce an initial snapshot of how a changing climate may affect the UK up to the year 2100. It will be updated every five years, taking account of new climate observations and improved understanding of future climate change and risk.




Climate Ready Adaptation Wizard

Whether you are new to climate change, looking to find out more, or suspect that you will be affected by climate change and are looking for guidance on how to adapt, this Wizard can help you.
What can I use the Wizard for?

Risk framework - The decision making process for Climate Risk


The Risk, uncertainty and decision-making framework is a step-by-step process to help you assess what adaptation measures are most appropriate for your organisation or business.

It is based on standard decision-making and risk principles, and will help you answer the questions:

  • What climate change risks could affect my decision?
  • What adaptation measures are required, and when should they be implemented?


Principles of good Climate Risk Adaptation


Good adaptation is based on good information and communication within a community that is willing to adapt. It is important that all involved have an understanding of:

  • The objectives of the process.
  • Adaptation measures including feasibility.
  • A desire for successful and appropriate adaptation.


Climate Adaptation Programme

Welcome to our Climate Adaptation Portal

Since 2006 the Continuity Forum has been working with a number of agencies and bodies to develop a deeper understanding and relevance of the Risk and Business Continuity professions applies to one of the biggest issues of our time... Climate Change. 
This portal is part of that effort. Through these pages we'll be providing you with support and resources, as well as asking for your insight and ideas, all geared to create a more connected and effective approach to the planning and priorities needed to address the effects of Climate Change. 
This has become an important policy matter to us and the chart below illustrates why.
Growth in Extreme Weather Disruptions and BCM

Climate Adaptation work accelerates

Risk and Business Continuity can play a part in managing global impact of climate change
Update April 2013
Update March 2013...
UPDATE February 2013 ... new events
Climate Adaptation Project 
Over the past few weeks the Continuity Forum has been busy talking with Risk and BCM professionals on the role of the professions in helping mitigate and more broadly manage the impact of climate change.
In a series of industry discussions held in London, Edinburgh, Bristol, Manchester and Coventy we have been challenging our ideas and concepts and reality checking the Climate Adaptation Project (CAP) with the people in the front line responsible for Risk and Business Continuity Mangement.   

Climate Change and Business Continuity - changing the future - a new working group

Changing the future ...
The Continuity Forum has been working for a number of years looking at how the expertise and experience gained by Risk and Business Continuity professionals can help change our future.
Climate Change is a very real threat that needs united action by the public and private sector if the risks it brings are to be effectively countered.
Across disparate areas, expert opinion has confirmed everyone needs to be more active and to start considering how Climate Chnage may affect them. The Continuity Forum has developed relationships with government and academia, investigating the contribution our professions expertise can make to this challenge.
What has become clear over this time is that there are very few people in better positions to understand the risks and consequences to organisations and communities than the BC and Risk Management Communities. Whether its Flooding or Drought, Supply Chain disruption or Fire, even natural disasters, our sectors have real experience of how to cope more effectively.  Moreover, with the changing landscape and profile of Business Continuity and Risk Management across the world the time is now right to seek positive engagement on how we can help deliver cost-effective, viable and sustainable solutions. 

Extreme Weather and Technology failure top the BCM event list

This years CMI Business Continuity Survey is available for download below and this year shows just how challenging 2011 was for organisations.
Overall the report details some interesting changes and reflects on the effects of the more social disruption and its effects than previous years surveys. 
Heading the list of incidents again was the winter weather That stuck hard nearly 30% of respondents  causing major disruption and impact of the snow and cold weather affected an additional 52% of the sample who report minor impacts on operations (82% total). This is the second year in a row that weather has been more problematic than IT issues that still hit 39% of organisations over the year up 5% on the previous survey.

Former FEMA Exec advocates all hazards approach to Business Continuity in wake of tornados

The dozens of tornadoes that ripped through the Southern States of the US in 2011 left 340 people dead and hundreds unaccounted for, according to the latest reports from the Associated Press.
In what is one of the worst natural disasters to hit the region since Hurricane Katrina in 2005, the storms have people and businesses scrambling to recover from the incredible devastation. But is it even possible for businesses and employees to prepare for a catastrophe of this scale? 

Exercise Watermark underway


Over the next week the largest ever civil protection exercise in the UK gets underway. The Exercise, called Watermark, involves 10 government departments, 34 resilience forums and many teams from emergency planning, water and energy companies, hospitals and schools as well as a host of Business Continuity professionals coming together to test their preparedness against a range of different flooding Sceanrios.
Exercise Watermark is supported by DEFRA, who are contributing £820,000 to the emergency services, charities and others to help pay for flood rescue equipment and training. All of the equipment will be added to the National asset register for flood rescue resources and will be called upon in the event of major flooding events.

Annual flood damage costs £1 billion - but could rise to £27 billion by 2080

While there has been a significant real increase in real terms for flood defence spending since 1997, in order to maintain existing levels of flood protection to 2035, spending on asset maintenance and construction would have to increase by 80% to over £1 billion per year.

Planning keeps flooded firms afloat

UK Flooding shows need for increased BCM planning

Businesses in northern and central England have deployed their business continuity plans after sustained heavy rainfall flooded offices and left IT centres inaccessible throughout the region.

Insurers estimate that the cost to repair physical damage across the country will run to £1bn. Among the organisations affected by the floods were steel company Sheffield Forgemasters and Sheffield Chamber of Commerce.

Keith Tilley, managing director at disaster recovery firm SunGard Availability Services, said, "This is the biggest multiple-company incident we have had after the 7 June London bombings in 2005 and the Buncefield oil depot fire in 2006." Staff at Sheffield Chamber of Commerce had to be winched to safety by an RAF helicopter on Monday evening.

Director Stephen Mitchell, who was among those rescued, said that although the chamber's systems were backed up regularly and long-term damage would be minimal, it had been difficult to help businesses with the crisis because the chamber's own IT system had not been working. Parts of the e-mail system also had to be replaced at a cost of up to £3,000.

Law firm Irwin Mitchell relocated staff after the floods caused £1m in damage to its Sheffield offices. Richard Hodkinson, group IT and operations director, said that staff working at the offsite SunGard disaster recovery centre managed to keep services to clients running despite power disruptions. "People worked well into the night, determined to get resolution to these problems. It brought the best out for the IT team and pulled them together," Hodkinson said.

EWS Railway's datacentre south-east of Doncaster was also hit by the flooding. CIO Guy Mason said, "Work on essential projects and strategy has stopped, despite not losing systems. It is still a real cost." The experience has brought the IT department and the users closer together, he said. "I have never seen them talking together more than this week." David Fletcher, a director at investment company Creative Sheffield, said, "Smaller companies may not survive this, but larger companies will mostly pull through because they usually have the financial resources."

The floods had shown that business continuity is essential for every business, no matter what size or type. END

If you would like to know more about how your organisation can get involved and benefit from working with the Continuity Forum, please call on + 44 (0) 208 993 1599.

UK flooding bill exceeds £5 billion small firms worst affected - Updated

Small firms struggle in flood aftermath

Update The current estimate for the Summer Flooding Bill now exceeds £5 Billion, insurers are now processing over 11,000 claims from businesses for the disruption and damage caused.

A farmer watches his crop rot in the fields. A pizza and kebab seller wonders when his shop can open again. A builders' merchant is still clearing skip after skip of debris from his premises. These are just three of the businesses affected by the devastating floods that swept through thousands of homes and offices last week. Teams of loss adjusters are now sweeping through South Yorkshire and the Hull area, totting up the bills for the insurance industry. New figures released on Friday by the Chartered Institute of Loss Adjusters suggest that claims relating to the floods will total more than £1.5bn - £825m for domestic claims, £680m for businesses. (see update note - Estimates now exceed £5 billion)
The Chartered Institute says virtually all properties where there is a claim have now been visited by its members, and the rest should have had a visit by the beginning of next week.

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